Trend
Analysis
Trend
analysis is a very effective technique that is employed by the investors in
relation to the prediction of the future
outcome in the market of the securities. The basis of such predictions is the
past data in relation to your objective for which you are seeking trend analysis. There are three important and central
aspects in relation to the trend analysis that are short-run, intermediate run
and finally the long-run. These are actually the time periods for which trend
analysis is developed. There are no particular requirements in relation to the
time period regarding the direction that would be deemed as a trend, however, the longer the period will be
the more reliable will be the direction of the trend and would effectively assist
in the decision making of the investors or the stakeholders.
Trend
Analysis and Time Series Data
Trend
analysis is principally the application
of the time series data. Time series data is such data that is specifically
presented sequentially over the selected period of time. For instance, the
collection of the data of sales in relation to each month is a primary example
of the time series data. The employment of
the trend analysis yields general pattern in relation to the relationship
between the selected and subject variables of interest. Over and above, it yields
and indicates the expected direction of the subject variables in relation to
the future periods and thus effectively assists in the precise and persuasive prediction of the market behavior.
Trend
Analysis Application
The
results of the trend analysis are used to
manifest the behavior of the market that is whether it bullish market or
bearish market and following that particular trend information until there is
an indication of the trend reversal, for
instance, the bull-to-bear market in
real-time. The pertinent advantage of the trend analysis
is that it leads to the opportunity of profits provided one has followed the
information yielded from the trend analysis.
How
to use Trend Analysis?
In
order to make effective use of the trend analysis and subjecting the applicable
data to the analysis, it is quite important that you narrow down the particular
market segment that is select the target and particular industry. Subsequent to
it precisely select the specific nature of the investment for which trend
analysis is sought. This will lead to the
observation of the specific performance of the targeted investment type and the precise observation in relation to such
factors that have significant influence pertaining to your selected investment type and its consequent behavior.
This data will significantly assist the users in the prediction of the market
direction that is if it is bearish, bullish, moving forward or otherwise moving
backward.
Trend
Following
Trend
following is that kind of the securities trading system that is fundamentally
based on the technique of the trend analysis
and its related recommendations in relation to the decision making pertaining
to the investment. The particular tools that are used in relation to the making of the trend analysis are computer
analysis followed by relevant data modeling.